Making Financial Headlines · Page 5

Goldman Tells Gold to Wait Outside Until the Fed Changes Its Tone

Goldman Sachs strategists have changed their gold expectations and say it is early to buy the metal, citing the Federal Reserve's hawkish shift. Even a shiny asset, it turns out, must wait for a meeting about interest rates. A hawkish central bank places emphasis on restraining inflation, a stance that can influence expectations for rates and the appeal of different assets. Gold does not pay interest, so the outlook for interest-bearing alternatives can matter when investors compare where to put money. Goldman's assessment ties its change in expectations to that monetary backdrop. The bank's view is a forecast, not a guarantee about the next move in gold. The word early is doing substantial work: it is a judgment about timing as well as the forces affecting the market. Another investor could weigh those forces differently or reach a different conclusion about when they will change. The assessment also illustrates how a supposedly timeless store of value can be caught in a very timely argument about the Fed. Gold has no earnings call and does not issue guidance, but it still finds itself in a research note about what policymakers might do. The metal remains silent. The calendar is doing the talking.

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