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Anthropic's AI Helps Build AI, and the Calendar Gets Nervous

Anthropic is using AI to help build more powerful AI, and a report from safety research organization METR says the company's models are improving roughly twice as quickly as they were a year ago. METR's finding follows an 11-week investigation and says there is little indication of a slowdown. The report has drawn concern from researchers because it points to a cycle in which AI assists the development of subsequent systems. Faster progress can be attractive to a company competing to build useful models, while also giving researchers less time to understand and evaluate changing capabilities. The reported pace is an assessment of Anthropic's progress, not a guarantee that every future advance will follow the same curve. Still, the idea of development tools contributing to their own successors puts an unusual pressure on the familiar technology schedule. A lab can use its latest assistant to help make the next assistant, then face the task of assessing what has changed. Management may see an accelerating development cycle; safety researchers see a shorter interval between one set of questions and the next. The calendar has not become more spacious simply because the software has become more capable.

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